understanding   impact networks	Cross-impact balance analysis
Home     Cross-impact balance analysis     Approach     CIB algorithm          The CIB algorithm          Structure of a CI matrix          Recognizing inconsistencies          Consistent scenarios     Project references     Publications     Guidelines     ScenarioWizard     Contact     ZIRN	The CIB algorithm (1/4) The aim of the CIB analysis is the construction of internally consistent assumption bundles in the context of scenario analysis. To this aim configurations of the impact factor network with mutually supporting plausibilities must be identified. CIB uses a pair-interaction system approach. Starting point is the identification of a set of factors ("descriptors") which characterize the system in a sufficient way for the purpose of a qualitative system understanding. The relations between these descriptors are described by a net of influences (Fig. 1). Fig. 1 The impact relations may be one-sided or reciprocal. An arrow directed from descriptor A to descriptor B indicates an impact on B, caused by A. As a whole the system will tend to a configuration in which the web of influences is balanced in an internally consistent way. The impact network and its behaviour can be described and analysed in a qualitative manner by a "cross-impact matrix". >> Structure of a cross-impact matrix	News The Helmholtz Alliance "ENERGY-TRANS" studies the interplay between technological and societal aspects of the energy transition in Germany. ZIRN develops societal scenarios using the CIB method... More News In a project dealing with the conditions of sustainable heat consumption the interdependence of structural conditions, actor behaviour and consumer behaviour is analysed using the CIB method... More News A project of the Stuttgart Cluster of Excellence "SimTech" uses CIB as a method to integrate political, social and economical contexts into environmental simulations... More News In a project about obesity prevention the obesity risks of socially disadvantaged children and adolescents will be analysed using the CIB method... More News The German-Peruvian project LiWa aims at strategies to cope with the threats of climate change to the water supply of Lima. The project's integrative scenarios are developed using the CIB method... More News Version 3.42 of the free CIB software ScenarioWizard Basic is available now... More Archive The archive offers a compilation of older CIB notes on projects and publications... More